Mound Talk

The most difficult stat to predict offensively is batting average. Players often see twenty-point swings from year to year. Good luck projecting this one.

Position	Batting Average
1	0.297
2	0.292
3	0.288
4	0.287
5	0.285
6	0.284
7	0.282
8	0.281
9	0.278
10	0.277
11	0.274
12	0.271

Average is the tightest clumping and a few hits make a world of a difference. Look for guys who posted abnormally low average last season as potentially undervalued guys. Look at guys with low BABIP but normal LD% as guys who were “unlucky” last year.

Concluding Thoughts

Don’t draft a Chris Young if you don’t have a Hanley Ramirez to balance him out.

You sacrifice a lot by not getting a few .300 hitters. Consider it this way: five guys who hit .300 for the season means that from the other four slots you need just a .278 average to have a team average of .290, good enough for 10 points.